{"id":22301,"date":"2025-04-29T11:11:44","date_gmt":"2025-04-29T08:11:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/zelbukis.lt\/?p=22301"},"modified":"2025-04-29T11:11:49","modified_gmt":"2025-04-29T08:11:49","slug":"sumaistis-pasaulio-rinkose-lietuvos-ukininkus-veda-prie-svarbiu-isvadu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/zelbukis.lt\/en\/sumaistis-pasaulio-rinkose-lietuvos-ukininkus-veda-prie-svarbiu-isvadu\/","title":{"rendered":"Sumai\u0161tis pasaulio rinkose Lietuvos \u016bkininkus veda prie svarbi\u0173 i\u0161vad\u0173"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tarptautin\u0117 prekybos sistema seniai nereg\u0117jo tokio chaoso. Vadinamieji muit\u0173 karai daro itin didel\u0119 neigiam\u0105 \u012ftak\u0105 pasaulio ekonomikai ir ilgainiui gali neigiamai paveikti gr\u016bd\u0173 rinkas. K\u0105 \u0161i sumai\u0161tis rei\u0161kia m\u016bs\u0173 \u0161alies \u016bkininkams ir apie k\u0105 jiems der\u0117t\u0173 susim\u0105styti?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Istorija kartojasi?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0160iuo metu did\u017eiausias susiprie\u0161inimas tvyro tarp Va\u0161ingtono ir Pekino. Ka\u017ek\u0105 pana\u0161aus pasaulis mat\u0117 ir 2018 met\u0173 vasar\u0105, kai pirmosios kadencijos metu, JAV prezidentas Donaldas Trumpas \u012fved\u0117 25 proc. muit\u0173 tarifus Kinijai tam tikroms prek\u0117ms. Tuo metu Kinija buvo gana priklausoma nuo prekybos su JAV. Apie penktadal\u012f bendro Kinijos eksporto sudar\u0117 pardavimai, nukreipti b\u016btent \u012f Amerik\u0105. Neigiamas poveikis jaut\u0117si ir \u017eem\u0117s \u016bkio \u017ealiav\u0173 prekyboje.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kritus Kinijos sojos pupeli\u0173, kukur\u016bz\u0173 pirkimams i\u0161 JAV, krito ir kainos, o \u017eem\u0117s \u016bkio produkcijos prekyba buvo rekordi\u0161kai \u017eema. Prekybos karas t\u0119s\u0117si apie pusantr\u0173 met\u0173 ir baig\u0117si sutartimi, kuria Kinija \u012fsipareigojo pirkti daugiau \u017eem\u0117s \u016bkio produkcijos i\u0161 JAV. Atsl\u016bgus \u012ftampai, ir prekyba, ir \u017eem\u0117s \u016bkio \u017ealiav\u0173 kainos gr\u012f\u017eo \u012f ankstesn\u012f lyg\u012f. Ta\u010diau ilgainiui kinai \u012f sutartinius \u012fsipareigojimus numojo ranka.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

2025 met\u0173 situacija ka\u017ekiek skiriasi. Vis\u0173 pirma, naujos JAV administracijos vykdoma prekybos politika yra itin chaoti\u0161ka su didele prie\u0161prie\u0161os doze. Bendras JAV taikom\u0173 muit\u0173 mastas yra \u017eenkliai didesnis (25 proc.), paskutin\u012f kart\u0105 tokio dyd\u017eio tarifai buvo taikomi prie\u0161 II pasaulin\u012f kar\u0105. Tuo tarpu, Kinija yra labiau nepriklausoma, geriau pasiruo\u0161usi t\u0119sti \u0161it\u0105 prie\u0161prie\u0161\u0105. Visa tai, gali trukti ilgiau ir tur\u0117ti itin neigiam\u0173 pasekmi\u0173 pasaulio ekonomikai.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Gr\u016bd\u0173 rinkose JAV prarado pozicijas<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

JAV yra reik\u0161minga pasaulin\u0117s \u017ealiav\u0173, ypa\u010d energetini\u0173 i\u0161tekli\u0173, prekybos dalyv\u0117. Vis d\u0117lto, kalbant apie \u017eem\u0117s \u016bkio produkcijos prekyb\u0105, JAV pozicijos pastaraisiais metais yra gerokai susilpn\u0117jusios. Pasaulin\u0117se kukur\u016bz\u0173 ir soj\u0173 rinkose JAV dal\u012f perima Brazilija ir Argentina, i\u0161 kuri\u0173 Kinija perka vis daugiau, o kvie\u010di\u0173 rinkos poky\u010dius vis labiau nulemia Rusijos gr\u016bd\u0173 rinkos situacija.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JAV turi tenkintis ma\u017eesniais pardavimais, daugiausiai eksportuodama \u012f kaimynines \u0161alis, pavyzd\u017eiui, Meksik\u0105, ar Azijos valstybes \u2013 Japonij\u0105, Filipinus, Piet\u0173 Kor\u0117j\u0105. \u0160ios prekybos partner\u0117s yra labiau priklausomos nuo \u017eem\u0117s \u016bkio \u017ealiav\u0173 tiekimo i\u0161 JAV, taigi, tik\u0117tina, jos neketina eskaluoti esamos situacijos. Sumaniusios \u012fvesti muitus JAV produkcijai, jos tiesiog b\u016bt\u0173 priverstos pirkti brangiau. Tod\u0117l tiesioginis muit\u0173 poveikis JAV gr\u016bd\u0173 prekybai n\u0117ra reik\u0161mingas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pagrindin\u0117s kvie\u010di\u0173 pirk\u0117jos susiduria su i\u0161\u0161\u016bkiais<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Itin neigiamai \u017eem\u0117s \u016bkio \u017ealiav\u0173 prekyb\u0105 gali paveikti prast\u0117janti pasaulio ekonomikos pad\u0117tis. Naujosios JAV administracijos sprendimai sugriov\u0117 vilt\u012f, kad infliacija gali b\u016bti suvaldyta, ir kad d\u0117l ma\u017einam\u0173 pal\u016bkan\u0173 ekonomikos augimo ciklas pasauliniu mastu gali prasit\u0119sti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Istorija rodo, kad l\u0117t\u0117jant pasaulio ekonomikai labiausiai nuken\u010dia besivystan\u010dios valstyb\u0117s. Beje, jos ir yra pagrindin\u0117s \u017eem\u0117s \u016bkio produkcijos pirk\u0117jos. Svarbiausi \u017eem\u0117s \u016bkio \u017ealiav\u0173 prekybos keliai veda i\u0161 \u0160iaur\u0117s pusrutulio \u012f Afrikos ar Azijos \u017eemyn\u0105, kur gyvena did\u017eiausia \u017emonijos dalis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Didel\u0117 infliacija, kuri\u0105 pastaraisiais metais patyr\u0117 Turkija, Egiptas ir kitos stambios gr\u016bd\u0173 pirk\u0117jos, labai paveik\u0117 \u0161i\u0173 valstybi\u0173 ekonomik\u0105 ir kasdien\u012f \u017emoni\u0173 gyvenim\u0105. Pavyzd\u017eiui, did\u017eiausio kvie\u010di\u0173 pirk\u0117jo Egipto perkamoji galia gerokai susitrauk\u0117 d\u0117l auk\u0161tos infliacijos (30 proc.) ir vietin\u0117s valiutos nuvert\u0117jimo JAV dolerio at\u017evilgiu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Egipto vyriausybei tenka sunkus u\u017edavinys i\u0161laikyti stabilias kvie\u010di\u0173 pirkimo apimtis eksporto rinkose. Prast\u0117jant ekonominei b\u016bklei, Kairui pernai teko ma\u017einti subsidijas duonos pramonei ir taip kelti pa\u010dios produkcijos kainas. Tarp \u0161ios \u0161alies vald\u017eios plan\u0173 minimas ir siekis reguliuoti duonos kepimo receptus, ma\u017einant santykinai brangesni\u0173 kvietini\u0173 milt\u0173 dal\u012f ir juos pakei\u010diant \u012f pigesnius kukur\u016bz\u0173 ar sorg\u0173 miltus. Kitaip tariant, sunkme\u010diu vald\u017eia kontroliuoja, koki\u0105 duon\u0105 valgys egiptie\u010diai.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Su pana\u0161iais sunkumais susiduria ir kita svarbi kvie\u010di\u0173 pirk\u0117ja Turkija. 2024 m. kvie\u010di\u0173 importas smuko 40 proc. ir siek\u0117 6 mln. ton\u0173. Auk\u0161ta infliacija, kuri pernai siek\u0117 70 proc., ir JAV dolerio at\u017evilgiu nuvert\u0117jusi Turkijos lira itin apribojo \u0161alies galimybes importuoti \u017eem\u0117s \u016bkio produkcij\u0105 i\u0161 kitur. Turkijos vyriausyb\u0117 netgi buvo i\u0161 dalies sustabd\u017eiusi kvie\u010di\u0173 import\u0105 nuo 2024 bir\u017eelio iki spalio.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Poky\u010diai valiut\u0173 rinkose veikia pad\u0117t\u012f ir Europoje, vienoje pagrindini\u0173 \u017eem\u0117s \u016bkio produkcijos eksportuotoj\u0173. Panika finans\u0173 rinkose ir nepasitik\u0117jimas JAV ekonomika i\u0161\u0161auk\u0117 stipr\u0173 dolerio nuvert\u0117jim\u0105. Did\u017eioji dalis \u017ealiav\u0173 prekybos pasaulyje vyksta b\u016btent JAV doleriais, tod\u0117l \u0161ios valiutos pigimas suteik\u0117 prana\u0161umo konkurentams \u2013 Rusijai ir i\u0161 dalies Lotyn\u0173 Amerikos \u0161alims.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kaip nepraleisti meto fiksuoti kainas? Naujo derliaus prognoz\u0117s<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u017dem\u0117s \u016bkio produkcijos kain\u0173 patiriamas spaudimas grei\u010diausiai t\u0119sis ir toliau, versdamas vis da\u017eniau \u017evalgytis \u012f or\u0173 prognozes. Kol kas rimtesni\u0173 i\u0161\u0161\u016bki\u0173 d\u0117l or\u0173 nematyti, tad, i\u0161ankstin\u0117mis prognoz\u0117mis, kvie\u010di\u0173 derlius Europoje gali b\u016bti 14 mln. ton\u0173 didesnis negu pernai.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pana\u0161i\u0173 tendencij\u0173 galime tik\u0117tis ir Juodosios j\u016bros regione bei Rusijoje. Vis d\u0117lto, patirtis rodo, kad pavasario pabaiga ar vasaros prad\u017eia yra itin jautrus laikotarpis, ir bet kokios spekuliacijos apie esamas ar menamas or\u0173 problemas gali sukelti rimt\u0173 kain\u0173 svyravim\u0173 bir\u017eoje.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pavyzd\u017eiui, pernai Rusijoje pavasar\u012f tr\u016bko krituli\u0173 ir buvo prognozuojama, kad kvie\u010di\u0173 derlius gali b\u016bti apie tre\u010ddaliu ma\u017eesnis. Pasigirdus tokioms prognoz\u0117ms, kvie\u010di\u0173 kaina bir\u017eoje beregint pakilo iki 270 eur\u0173 u\u017e ton\u0105 ir tik v\u0117liau sugr\u012f\u017eo ar\u010diau istori\u0161kai \u012fprasto lygmens, apie 210 eur\u0173.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Visa tai tik parodo, kaip Lietuvos \u016bkininkams svarbu \u0161iuo metu atid\u017eiai steb\u0117ti pad\u0117t\u012f rinkoje ir bent i\u0161 dalies fiksuoti b\u016bsimo derliaus produkcijos kainas. Ko gero, tai vert\u0117t\u0173 daryti net ne vien\u0105 kart\u0105, taip siekiant suvaldant kain\u0173 svyravimo rizik\u0105.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Tarptautin\u0117 prekybos sistema seniai nereg\u0117jo tokio chaoso. Vadinamieji muit\u0173 karai daro itin didel\u0119 neigiam\u0105 \u012ftak\u0105 pasaulio ekonomikai ir ilgainiui gali neigiamai paveikti gr\u016bd\u0173 rinkas. K\u0105 \u0161i sumai\u0161tis rei\u0161kia m\u016bs\u0173 \u0161alies \u016bkininkams ir apie k\u0105 jiems der\u0117t\u0173 susim\u0105styti? Istorija kartojasi? \u0160iuo metu did\u017eiausias susiprie\u0161inimas tvyro tarp Va\u0161ingtono ir Pekino. Ka\u017ek\u0105 pana\u0161aus pasaulis mat\u0117 ir 2018 met\u0173 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":451,"featured_media":22302,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[504],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-22301","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-zemes-ukis-lietuvoje"],"yoast_head":"\nSumai\u0161tis pasaulio rinkose Lietuvos \u016bkininkus veda prie svarbi\u0173 i\u0161vad\u0173 - Zelbukis<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/zelbukis.lt\/en\/sumaistis-pasaulio-rinkose-lietuvos-ukininkus-veda-prie-svarbiu-isvadu\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Sumai\u0161tis pasaulio rinkose Lietuvos \u016bkininkus veda prie svarbi\u0173 i\u0161vad\u0173 - Zelbukis\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Tarptautin\u0117 prekybos sistema seniai nereg\u0117jo tokio chaoso. 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