{"id":23150,"date":"2025-08-14T11:51:12","date_gmt":"2025-08-14T08:51:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/zelbukis.lt\/?p=23150"},"modified":"2025-08-14T11:51:17","modified_gmt":"2025-08-14T08:51:17","slug":"ekspertai-paaiskino-kas-lemia-pasaulines-grudu-kainas-veikia-ir-valiutu-kursai-ir-duju-kainos","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/zelbukis.lt\/en\/ekspertai-paaiskino-kas-lemia-pasaulines-grudu-kainas-veikia-ir-valiutu-kursai-ir-duju-kainos\/","title":{"rendered":"Ekspertai paai\u0161kino, kas lemia pasaulines gr\u016bd\u0173 kainas: veikia ir valiut\u0173 kursai, ir duj\u0173 kainos"},"content":{"rendered":"

Kasmet Lietuva \u012f u\u017esienio \u0161alis eksportuoja apie 70 proc. savo u\u017eaugint\u0173 jav\u0173, absoliuti dauguma kuri\u0173 \u2013 kvie\u010diai, rodo Valstyb\u0117s duomen\u0173 agent\u016bros duomenys. Kaip ai\u0161kina \u017eem\u0117s \u016bkio ir finans\u0173 ekspertai, \u016bkininkams itin aktualios tarptautin\u0117s kvie\u010di\u0173 kainos, o jas labiausiai lemia global\u016bs veiksniai, ra\u0161oma \u201eLinas Agro\u201c prane\u0161ime \u017einiasklaidai.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201eDaugiau nei du tre\u010ddaliai m\u016bs\u0173 \u0161alyje u\u017eaugintos \u017eem\u0117s \u016bkio produkcijos i\u0161keliauja svetur, tad esame pakankamai priklausomi nuo to, kas vyksta pasaulyje, tiek nuo ger\u0173, tiek nuo blog\u0173 \u012fvyki\u0173. Tai lie\u010dia ir gr\u016bd\u0173 kainas, kurias tiesiogiai veikia geopolitiniai veiksniai, o jie pastaruoju metu \u2013 itin ry\u0161kus\u201c, \u2013 teigia \u201eLinas Agro\u201c gr\u016bdini\u0173 kult\u016br\u0173 pirkimo vadovas Justas Eimontas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Did\u017eiausias poveikis \u2013 d\u0117l prekybos \u201ekar\u0173\u201c<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kaip sako SEB banko ekonomistas Tadas Povilauskas, esminis pastar\u0173j\u0173 met\u0173 pasaulio ekonomik\u0105 koreguojantis veiksnys \u2013 nesutarimai d\u0117l tarptautin\u0117s prekybos ir \u012fvedami vis grie\u017etesni muit\u0173 tarifai. Anot jo, did\u017eiausias vaidmuo \u010dia tenka Jungtin\u0117ms Amerikos Valstijoms (JAV).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201e\u0160i\u0173 met\u0173 pasaulio ekonomin\u0119 darbotvark\u0119 formuoja JAV, su prezidentu Donaldu Trumpu prie\u0161akyje \u2013 tai ypa\u010d pastebima vie\u0161ojoje erdv\u0117je. Visa \u0161i informacija turi \u012ftakos ir \u012fmoni\u0173, ir investuotoj\u0173 sprendimams. Tai atsiliepia ir galutiniams vartotojams \u2013 Lietuvos ir kit\u0173 \u0161ali\u0173 gyventojams, o poveikis pastebimas per \u017ealiav\u0173 kainas, valiut\u0173 kursus, pal\u016bkanas\u201c, \u2013 sako T. Povilauskas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kaip ap\u017evelgia ekonomistas, daugiausiai nerimo pasaulyje buvo pavasar\u012f, kai baland\u017eio 2 d. buvo paskelbti drasti\u0161ki muitai \u012f JAV \u012fve\u017eamoms prek\u0117ms. Ta\u010diau, pra\u0117jus daugiau nei trims m\u0117nesiams nuo pirm\u0173j\u0173 grasinim\u0173, priimti muitai \u2013 kur kas \u017eemesni, nei planuota.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201eMuit\u0173 poveikis pasaulio ekonomikai \u2013 kol kas ma\u017eesnis, nei tik\u0117tasi. Padid\u0117jusiais tarifais siekta papildyti JAV biud\u017eeto pajamas, paskatinti gamyb\u0105 \u0161alyje ir spr\u0119sti kitas geopolitines problemas. Mums svarbu, kad Europos S\u0105jungos ekonomika antr\u0105j\u012f \u0161i\u0173 met\u0173 ketvirt\u012f augo, kad ir l\u0117tesniu tempu. Vis d\u0117lto, neapibr\u0117\u017etumas i\u0161lieka, ir jis ver\u010dia \u012fmones ir investuotojus pergalvoti savo planus bei per\u017ei\u016br\u0117ti investicijas, o tai, savo ruo\u017etu, artimiausiu metu veikiausiai lems l\u0117tesn\u012f, negu nor\u0117tume ekonomikos augim\u0105 pasaulyje\u201c, \u2013 paai\u0161kina T. Povilauskas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Muitai koreguoja ir valiut\u0173 kursus: tai atsiliepia ir kainoms<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nenusp\u0117jama JAV prekybos politika veikia ir valiut\u0173 kursus: ry\u0161kiausi poky\u010diai pastebimi vertinant JAV dolerio ir euro santyk\u012f. Kaip teigia ekonomistas, silpn\u0117jan\u010dio dolerio ir stipr\u0117jan\u010dio euro \u012ftaka jau\u010diama ir Lietuvoje.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201e\u0160iuo atveju, \u012f m\u016bs\u0173 \u0161al\u012f dalis importuojam\u0173 preki\u0173, u\u017e kurias atsiskaitoma JAV doleriais, tampa pigesn\u0117mis, pavyzd\u017eiui, \u017eem\u0117s \u016bkiui reikalingos tr\u0105\u0161os ir kitos \u017ealiavos. Kita vertus, kai i\u0161 Lietuvos \u012f ne euro zonos valstybes eksportuojame pagamint\u0105 produkcij\u0105 \u2013 u\u017eaugintus gr\u016bdus ir pan., ir galutinis pirk\u0117jas moka JAV doleriais, galiausiai d\u0117l to mes gauname ma\u017eiau eur\u0173\u201c, \u2013 sako T. Povilauskas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

J. Eimontas pabr\u0117\u017eia, kad JAV dolerio ir euro santykio poky\u010diai tiesiogiai veikia kainas tarptautin\u0117je MATIF gr\u016bd\u0173 bir\u017eoje. Pasak eksperto, 10 proc. susilpn\u0117jus JAV doleriui, atitinkamai tokiu pat dyd\u017eiu MATIF esan\u010dios gr\u016bd\u0173 kainos atsilieka nuo tikr\u0173j\u0173 ver\u010di\u0173.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Europai reikia galvoti apie konkurencingum\u0105<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dabartiniais duomenimis, kvie\u010di\u0173 kaina MATIF gr\u016bd\u0173 bir\u017eoje siekia apie 190\u2013200 eur\u0173 u\u017e ton\u0105, nors prie\u0161 3\u20134 metus, iki prasidedant Rusijos invazijai \u012f Ukrain\u0105, ji svyravo apie 250\u2013310 eur\u0173 u\u017e ton\u0105. Tuo pat metu duj\u0173 kaina i\u0161augo kone 10 kart\u0173. Vis d\u0117lto, kaip pastebi J. Eimontas, gr\u016bd\u0173 kaina \u2013 nelinkusi \u017eem\u0117ti, ir tai siejasi su tam tikrais ekonominiais bei socialiniais poky\u010diais.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201ePer tuos kelet\u0105 met\u0173 kardinaliai pasikeit\u0117 ekonomin\u0117 pad\u0117tis, taip pat kiti veiksniai, formuojantys gr\u016bd\u0173 rink\u0105: keit\u0117si tr\u0105\u0161\u0173, augal\u0173 apsaugos produkt\u0173, \u017eem\u0117s \u016bkio technikos kainos, galiausiai, i\u0161augo pragyvenimo lygis ir darbo u\u017emokestis. Visa tai \u2013 auga, ir susiformuoja tam tikras ekonominis prasilenkimas, tam tikros \u201e\u017eirkl\u0117s\u201c tarp pajam\u0173 (gr\u016bd\u0173 kainos) ir i\u0161laid\u0173 (investicij\u0173 bei pragyvenimo lygio)\u201c, \u2013 paai\u0161kina \u201eLinas Agro\u201c atstovas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jam antrinantis T. Povilauskas teigia, jog su tokia pad\u0117timi tenka susitaikyti ir galvoti, kaip pagerinti esam\u0105 situacij\u0105.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201ePrie\u0161 ger\u0105 de\u0161imtmet\u012f, kai MATIF kainos svyruodavo apie 190 eur\u0173 u\u017e ton\u0105, did\u017ei\u0173j\u0173 Europos \u0161ali\u0173 \u016bkininkai buvo tokioje pat pad\u0117tyje, kaip kad dabar yra Lietuvos \u016bkininkai. Esant \u017eemesn\u0117ms gr\u016bd\u0173 kainoms, jie tur\u0117jo mok\u0117ti santykinai didesnius atlyginimus, investuoti \u012f savo \u016bkius, o j\u0173 eksporto apimtys nesikeit\u0117. Taip dabar mums tenka perimti t\u0105 dali\u0105 ir gyventi prie \u017eemesni\u0173 MATIF kain\u0173, bet kartu ie\u0161kant sprendim\u0173, kaip ne tik i\u0161laikyti, bet ir didinti derli\u0173\u201c, \u2013 sako jis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

B\u016btini poky\u010diai pasaulin\u0117je tr\u0105\u0161\u0173 rinkoje<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ta\u010diau ekonomistas tvirtina, kad b\u016btina visos Europos mastu spr\u0119sti rimt\u0105 problem\u0105 \u2013 per dideles \u017eem\u0117s \u016bkio s\u0105naudas, kurias labiausiai lemia auk\u0161tos tr\u0105\u0161\u0173 kainos. Pasak jo, kol Europa nei\u0161spr\u0119s \u0161io klausimo, tol ji negal\u0117s sustiprinti savo konkurencingumo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201ePavyzd\u017eiui, azotini\u0173 tr\u0105\u0161\u0173 kainoms pakilus 20 proc., gr\u016bd\u0173 kainos smuko 10 proc., ir tai \u2013 ai\u0161kus signalas, jog reikia imtis poky\u010di\u0173. Su tuo susiduria \u016bkininkai ne tik Lietuvoje, bet ir Vokietijoje, Pranc\u016bzijoje bei kitose \u0161alyse. Tod\u0117l sprendim\u0173 teks ie\u0161koti visam regionui\u201c, \u2013 teigia T. Povilauskas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Norint sustiprinti Europos, taip pat ir Lietuvos, \u016bkinink\u0173 konkurencingum\u0105, ekonomistas \u012fvardija, jog pasaulyje tur\u0117t\u0173 atsirasti azotini\u0173 tr\u0105\u0161\u0173 perteklius. Tai, anot jo, suma\u017eint\u0173 tr\u0105\u0161\u0173 kainas ir atpigint\u0173 \u016bkinink\u0173 investicijas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201eJei \u0161ias tr\u0105\u0161as gamintume patys, j\u0173 kaina b\u016bt\u0173 s\u0105lyginai didel\u0117, nes reik\u0117t\u0173 ir importuoti dujas, ir jas apdirbti. Tod\u0117l reik\u0117t\u0173 tik\u0117tis poky\u010di\u0173 pasauliniu mastu. Tos \u0161alys, kurios gali pasigirti pigiomis dujomis, tur\u0117t\u0173 didinti azotini\u0173 tr\u0105\u0161\u0173 gamyb\u0105, o tai leist\u0173 tik\u0117tis konkurencingesni\u0173 kain\u0173 ir geresni\u0173 rezultat\u0173 \u016bkininkams\u201c, \u2013 tvirtina SEB banko ekonomistas T. Povilauskas.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Kasmet Lietuva \u012f u\u017esienio \u0161alis eksportuoja apie 70 proc. savo u\u017eaugint\u0173 jav\u0173, absoliuti dauguma kuri\u0173 \u2013 kvie\u010diai, rodo Valstyb\u0117s duomen\u0173 agent\u016bros duomenys. Kaip ai\u0161kina \u017eem\u0117s \u016bkio ir finans\u0173 ekspertai, \u016bkininkams itin aktualios tarptautin\u0117s kvie\u010di\u0173 kainos, o jas labiausiai lemia global\u016bs veiksniai, ra\u0161oma \u201eLinas Agro\u201c prane\u0161ime \u017einiasklaidai. \u201eDaugiau nei du tre\u010ddaliai m\u016bs\u0173 \u0161alyje u\u017eaugintos \u017eem\u0117s \u016bkio […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":451,"featured_media":23151,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[504],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-23150","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-zemes-ukis-lietuvoje"],"yoast_head":"\nEkspertai paai\u0161kino, kas lemia pasaulines gr\u016bd\u0173 kainas: veikia ir valiut\u0173 kursai, ir duj\u0173 kainos - Zelbukis<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/zelbukis.lt\/en\/ekspertai-paaiskino-kas-lemia-pasaulines-grudu-kainas-veikia-ir-valiutu-kursai-ir-duju-kainos\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Ekspertai paai\u0161kino, kas lemia pasaulines gr\u016bd\u0173 kainas: veikia ir valiut\u0173 kursai, ir duj\u0173 kainos - Zelbukis\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Kasmet Lietuva \u012f u\u017esienio \u0161alis eksportuoja apie 70 proc. savo u\u017eaugint\u0173 jav\u0173, absoliuti dauguma kuri\u0173 \u2013 kvie\u010diai, rodo Valstyb\u0117s duomen\u0173 agent\u016bros duomenys. 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